week 12 picks.

Packers over Vikings

Ravens over Jets

Colts over Cardinals

Cowboys over Giants

Broncos over Patriots. 


Can the Pack get a W with Tolzien?

Scott Tolzien is making his first NFL start tomorrow against the New York Giants. He flashed a strong arm last week and wasn’t afraid to take shots down the field. The Pack are struggling without Aaron Rodgers and they are going to need an all-around team performance to pull off a win against the suddenly surging New Yor Giants.

1. Takeaways- Remember when it was weird to see the Packers go a game without getting an interception? Me too, I miss those days. They are LAST in the NFL with only three picks on the year. Eli Manning has loved throwing to the guys in other jerseys for a good portion of the year. A nice pass rush should give the secondary to get some int’s and put the Packers offense in a good position. 

2. Balance- The Giants have a pretty good defense, ranking 11th against the run and the pass. A good combination of Eddie Lacy and James Starks will be a great way for this team to set up some play-action passing. Tolzien threw for almost 300 yards last week in just over three quarters of play. He has a nice relationship with some of the younger players such as Jarrett Boykin and tight end Brandon Bostick who is very athletically gifted. I expect Tolzien to play better tomorrow with a week of preparation. Lacy being a bulldozer will only help him as well.

3. Get off the field- The defense has been smacked in the mouth the last two weeks in the fourth quarter. They gave up a 9 minute drive to the Bears two weeks ago and a 9:30 minute drive to the Eagles last week who are known for their fast-pace approach. The D needs to dig deep and get stops on 3rd and long plays. They haven’t looked the same since Rodgers has gone down. Now it’s all about pride and just making a play. 

Packers keys to a win over the Bears.

There are few things during the year that make me get more excited than a Packers-Bears game. The Pack are looking for their 6th straight win over the Bears which would put the all-time record to 92-89-6 giving Green Bay a chance to tie the series up by the end of next season. Let’s take a look how the Pack can close the gap tonight.

1. Take some shots early- The Bears are giving up a mind-boggling 29.4 points per game this year. While the team is still doing well in the take-away department the Packers can try to end this one early with a few rainbow shots to Jordy Nelson. 

2. Cover up the ball- While this might seem like the most obvious thing to do in the world, the Bears have had some good success stripping the ball from Packer receivers. Just ask James Jones and Jermichael Finley. Bears cornerback Charles Tillman is the best in the league at punching the ball out a runner’s hands. If the Pack needs to sacrifice a few yards tonight to avoid the risk of a turnover then that is a win in my book.

3. Respect Josh McCown- McCown is not Jay Cutler but he is a backup that has had a lot of experience. He played well two weeks ago filling in for Cutler and has had two weeks to prepare for the Packers. Remember it was McCown’s touchdown pass to Nathan Poole in 2003 that beat the Minnesota Vikings and sent the Packers into the playoffs. Let’s hope we see that play more tonight than the Fail Mary.

  • Side note- Over/under four times we have to witness the Fail Mary tonight?
4. Packers corners vs. Marshall/Jeffrey- This is the deepest the Packers have been at cornerback during the Mike McCarthy era. They will have their hands full tonight with Brandon Marshall and the emergence of second-year man Alshon Jefferey. These guys have been one of the top wide-out duos in the league and are monsters at 6’4 and 6’3 respectively. 
I’ve got to go with the Packers tonight with the Bears having no Jay Cutler or Lance Briggs on defense. The Packers could be in a tad better shape tonight if James Jones is back but with the way Aaron Rodgers is playing I don’t think it matters who he throws to tonight. Pack 30 Bears- 20. 


Week 9 picks.

It’s another extremely rough week for NFL games. The only match-up this week with both teams having winning records is the Bears-Packers game on Monday night. But the picks must go on!


1. New Orleans over the Jets- The Jets got embarrassed by Andy Dalton this week. Can they slow down the Saints at all today? Possibly but not enough for a W.

2. San Diego over Washington- The Chargers could be in the thick of things in the AFC West if they could hold onto a lead. Phillip Rivers is playing much better football this year compared to the last few and he’ll lead them to a win in the powder blues. 

3. Baltimore over Cleveland- The Browns showed some flash with Jason Campbell using the deep ball. However can the Browns have consistent QB play in back-to-back weeks? I don’t see it. Baltimore gets back to .500.

4. Indy over Houston- The Case Keenum era has started in Houston but how long will it last? Indy is coming off a bye and I am curious to see how Andrew Luck does without Reggie Wayne. Indy proves to be too much.

5. Green Bay over Chicago- Aaron Rodgers is 8-2 vs. the Bears with both losses coming on Monday Night Football. However, Brian Urlacher-gone. Lance Briggs- Out, Jay Cutler- Out. The Packers keep finding a way to win with a random assortment of offensive play-makers.